96.739
İlkbahar, Çankaya/Ankara
Momentum · yeterli veri yok
Ilkbahar is a highly walkable residential neighbourhood in Çankaya, Ankara, characterized by a premium price level with a median listing price of 9,6739 TL/m². The market is dominated by apartment units, with prices reflecting a stable, high-value segment within the district.
Yürünebilirlik100/100Veri güveniyüksek49 ilanDeprem bölgesi3 · PGA 0.25gil bazlı
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3D · satellite + terrain · 10-min walk area
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AI property valuation
AI estimate from parcel dossier + KEOS zoning + live ₺/m² + TKGM transactions + road cession; ₺/m² computed from real listings. Not an official appraisal or investment advice.
12.500.000
Median price ₺
for sale100
Walkability
264 points of interest · OSMThe location's thesis.
Ilkbahar is optimized for affluent families and professionals who prioritize daily convenience and urban connectivity over speculative new-build growth. The data supports a thesis of 'mature premium stability': the high walkability score (100), dense mix of daily necessities (264 POIs within walking distance), and established apartment stock cater to residents who value time efficiency and established infrastructure. The absence of new supply and the dominance of larger family units (3+1) indicate a market focused on end-users rather than flippers, making it suitable for long-term holding or owner-occupiers willing to pay a premium for location utility.
- High mortgage interest rates (42.03%) significantly constrain credit-dependent demand, likely limiting the buyer pool to cash purchasers or those with substantial equity, which can reduce transaction velocity.
- The neighbourhood is located in Seismic Zone 3 with a PGA of 0.25g, requiring rigorous verification of building compliance with current earthquake regulations, particularly for older stock.
- Limited public transit accessibility (score 26) may reduce appeal for non-car-owning residents or those relying on public transport, potentially narrowing the tenant/buyer base compared to better-connected districts.
Housing, land, commercial and building — by type.
96.739
Konut
₺/m² · 49 listings · high confidence₺/m² by property type.
97.067
Daire
₺/m² · 46 listingsThe median price of 96,739 TL/m² indicates a premium positioning, supported by a tight interquartile range (73,333–106,793 TL/m²) that suggests consistent valuation across the majority of listings. The market is overwhelmingly driven by apartments (n=46), with villas being negligible in the current sample. Within apartments, smaller units (1+1 at 106,793 TL/m²) command a higher per-square-meter premium than larger family units (3+1 at 89,500 TL/m²), signaling that efficiency and lower total entry price are key value drivers. Brand premiums are modest, with top projects like Başkent Emlak Konutları trading at an 8% premium to the neighbourhood median, while others trade at or below it, indicating that brand alone does not guarantee significant price outperformance in this specific micro-market.
₺/m² by property type and layout
Daire36 listings
1+19 listings
106.793₺/m²
2+17 listings
93.182₺/m²
3+110 listings
89.500₺/m²
3.5+14 listings
95.678₺/m²
4+16 listings
61.291₺/m²
Bar: p25 — median — p75. Wide range within a type+layout = view/floor/aspect premium.
Price dispersion
73.33393.182106.793
Dispersion: Low · (p75−p25) / medyan = 0.36
Premium drivers · vs overall median
86.000
Site içinde
7 listings · −%8 vs medianHow each feature shifts ₺/m² vs the overall median; from sea/view/pool and in-complex info in listing titles.
Branded projects and price premium
Neighbourhood median 93.182 ₺/m²; branded projects trade at a premium/discount vs the median.
100.613
BAŞKENT EMLAK KONUTLARI
4 listings · max 130.952 · +%8 vs median98.169
SİNPAŞ ALTINORAN
14 listings · max 128.022 · +%5 vs median96.341
SİNPAŞ MARİNA
5 listings · max 114.130 · +%3 vs median79.167
GÜNEYPARK
7 listings · max 93.000 · −%15 vs medianComplexes, new-builds and mix in the area
%14
In a complex
7 / 49 listings1
New / under construction
1 yeni · 0 proje49
Housing listings for sale
kamuya açık ilan verisi — mahalle (satılık konut)Layout mix
3+111 listings · 93.000 ₺/m²
%28
1+19 listings · 106.793 ₺/m²
%22
2+17 listings · 93.182 ₺/m²
%18
4+16 listings · 61.291 ₺/m²
%15
3.5+14 listings · 95.678 ₺/m²
%10
4.5+13 listings · 97.396 ₺/m²
%8
Building age
0 (yeni/proje)1 listings
%100
Surroundings & transit.
Official location · İlkbahar Mahallesi, Çankaya, Ankara, İç Anadolu Bölgesi, Türkiye
100
Walkability
26
Public transit
193 m
Nearest market
198 m
Nearest pharmacy
72
Diğer
Playground (13), Garden (9), Shelter (7), İbadethane (7)67
Günlük ihtiyaç
Eczane (26), Banka (15), Süpermarket (12), Market (7)45
Yeme-içme
Restoran (24), Fast Food (10), Kafe (10), Bar (1)40
Spor & rekreasyon
Park (27), Spor Sahası (7), Spor Salonu (4), Spor Merkezi (2)17
Eğitim
Okul (12), Anaokulu (3), Kütüphane (1), Üniversite (1)16
Ulaşım
Taksi (9), Otopark (7)Recent developments.
İlkbahar Mahallesi Pazar Yeri ProjesiÇankaya Belediyesi tarafından İlkbahar Mahallesi'nde hizmete açılan pazar yeri projesi kapsamında altyapı ve ticari alan düzenlemeleri tamamlanmıştır.Çankaya Belediyesi · 2025
96.739
2026-08-17
96.739
2026-08-23
96.739
2026-08-30
Investment assessment
This neighbourhood offers a stable, high-barrier-to-entry investment profile suited for buyers seeking immediate occupancy in a fully serviced, walkable urban core. The high concentration of 3+1 units (11 listings) suggests strong demand from families, while the premium on 1+1 units offers potential for yield-focused investors targeting professionals or students. The lack of new/project-stage supply (0 natamam listings) limits speculative upside from new development but protects existing asset values from immediate oversupply. Investment returns will likely depend on unit efficiency and location within the walkable zone rather than brand prestige, as brand premiums are currently marginal.
Not a hard forecast; inference from observed trend + macro context. Not investment advice.
If you'd bought this a year ago
Konut
Sample (anonymised) listing: 4+1 · 180 m² · current price 12.500.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~10.393.549 ₺ (regional property index).
starting capital
Gram altın15.095.389 ₺ +%45
Bu konut12.500.000 ₺ +%20
ABD doları12.175.358 ₺ +%17
Bitcoin8.632.759 ₺ −%17
Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Ankara)
Each row: what the same capital (the property's estimated price a year ago) would be worth today in that asset — all prices real; past returns don't guarantee the future. USD: TCMB; Altın: spot (PAXG, gram); BTC: CoinGecko
Related Regions
This analysis relies on regional listing data (satılık konut), OpenStreetMap (OSM) for points of interest and walkability, and official macroeconomic indicators from TCMB. It does not include real-time macroeconomic shifts, zoning changes, or individual building structural assessments. Price data is derived from cleaned, median-based regional listings.