Dumlupınar, Çubuk/Ankara
Dumlupınar is a neighbourhood in Çubuk, Ankara, characterized by a residential median price of ₺41,001/m², which is positioned above the district average of ₺35,385/m² (regional listing data). The area is primarily composed of apartment units, with a notable concentration of 1+1 configurations.
Land · ₺/m²
15 listings · for saleMedian price ₺
for saleThe location's thesis.
Dumlupınar serves as a peripheral residential pocket where small-format apartments (1+1) are being introduced into a predominantly agricultural landscape (TKGM), making it a location for investors looking at entry-level unit types rather than established family housing.
- Low liquidity risk: Actual sales volumes (4 units in 2025) are low compared to listing counts, indicating a potential difficulty in rapid exits (TKGM).
- Seismic risk: The region is located in earthquake hazard zone 3, influenced by the southern branch of the North Anatolian Fault, with a peak ground acceleration (PGA) of 0.25g (regional data).
- Macroeconomic pressure: High national mortgage interest rates (41.82%) may limit buyer access to credit, favoring cash-based transactions (TCMB).
Housing, land, commercial and building — by type.
Konut
₺/m² · 70 listings · high confidenceArsa
₺/m² · 15 listings · medium confidenceArazi
₺/m² · 6 listings · medium confidence₺/m² by property type.
Daire
₺/m² · 70 listingsThe median residential price of ₺41,001/m² is driven by apartment-type housing, with 1+1 units priced at ₺41,146/m² and 2+1 units at ₺38,055/m² (regional listing data). The land character is predominantly agricultural, consisting of 5 'Tarla' (field) parcels (83%) and 1 parcel containing masonry houses, barns, and haylofts (17%) (TKGM). This distribution indicates a rural-agricultural profile rather than a developed urban residential zone. While listing prices are established, actual transaction volumes are low, with only 4 residential sales recorded in 2025 (TKGM), suggesting a gap between asking prices and real market liquidity.
₺/m² by property type and layout
Bar: p25 — median — p75. Wide range within a type+layout = view/floor/aspect premium.
Price dispersion
Dispersion: Low · (p75−p25) / medyan = 0.33
How each feature shifts ₺/m² vs the overall median; from sea/view/pool and in-complex info in listing titles.
Complexes, new-builds and mix in the area
New / under construction
3 yeni · 1 projeHousing listings for sale
kamuya açık ilan verisi — mahalle (satılık konut)Surroundings & transit.
The neighbourhood's profile is defined by its agricultural land use and a housing stock dominated by 1+1 apartments, which typically appeals to individual investors or small-scale occupants rather than large families. The low density of residential transactions relative to land parcels suggests a location that is currently more rural in character than urbanized.
Title & parcels.
Parcels
Blocks
Avg parcel m²
Land character
- Tarla · 5 (%83)
- İçerisinde Dört Adet Kargir Ev İki Adet Ahır Ve Samanlık Ve Yemliği Bulunan Tarla · 1 (%17)
Recent developments.
2026-08-17
2026-08-23
2026-08-30
2026-09-14
2026-09-21
2026-09-28
2026-10-05
2026-10-12
Actual transaction demand
Housing sales (yearly)
2025 · +%33 vs 5-yr avgLand sales (yearly)
2025 · −%54 vs 5-yr avgTotal housing sales
Housing sales (yearly) · 2010–2025Deed transactions = ACTUAL sales (TKGM), independent of listing ASKING prices — a demand/liquidity signal. Falling transactions = cooling demand, room to negotiate; high = liquid, in demand.
Investment assessment
Investment in Dumlupınar is centered on small-format residential units, as 1+1 apartments represent the dominant stock (53 listings) compared to 2+1 units (14 listings) (regional listing data). The presence of new/zero-completion stock and one ongoing project suggests a transition in supply, though the high ratio of agricultural land (83% Tarla) indicates the area's character remains largely undeveloped (TKGM). Given the current median price is above the district average, the investment profile depends on the conversion of agricultural parcels to residential use, subject to liquidity risks due to low transaction volumes.
Not a hard forecast; inference from observed trend + macro context. Not investment advice.
If you'd bought this a year ago
Sample (anonymised) listing: 1+1 · 46 m² · current price 2.150.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~1.779.862 ₺ (regional property index).
Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Ankara)
Sample (anonymised) listing: Arsa · 1.329 m² · current price 1.600.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~1.324.548 ₺ (regional property index).
Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Ankara) — arsa için resmi endeks yok, bölge gayrimenkul göstergesi
Sample (anonymised) listing: Arazi / tarla · 500 m² · current price 2.220.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~1.837.810 ₺ (regional property index).
Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Ankara) — arazi / tarla için resmi endeks yok, bölge gayrimenkul göstergesi
Each row: what the same capital (the property's estimated price a year ago) would be worth today in that asset — all prices real; past returns don't guarantee the future. USD: TCMB; Altın: spot (PAXG, gram); BTC: CoinGecko
Related Regions
This analysis relies on regional listing data, TKGM land registry records, and national macroeconomic indicators (TCMB). It does not account for future changes in zoning, interest rate fluctuations, or broader economic shifts not present in the provided data set.