REEN · Location Intelligence · Measured data

Bağlıca, Etimesgut/Ankara

Momentum · yeterli veri yok

Bağlıca, Etimesgut/Ankara is a high-density residential neighbourhood characterized by a significant price premium, with a median listing price of 74,939 TL/m²—more than double the district median of 31,212 TL/m². The area is dominated by large-format apartments and site-residences, catering to a specific segment of the market that values scale and managed living environments.

Talep eğilimi%+85 yıl ort.Son yıl tapu satışı1143 adet2025Veri güveniyüksek198 ilanDeprem bölgesi3 · PGA 0.25gil bazlı
Snapshot · measured
74.939

Housing · ₺/m²

198 listings · confidence yuksek
30.000

Land · ₺/m²

25 listings · for sale
13.450.000

Median price ₺

for sale
01 · Area thesis

The location's thesis.

Bağlıca is a premium, high-density residential enclave for affluent families seeking large-format (4+1) living within managed 'site' environments. The area is defined by its significant price premium over the district average, driven by the scarcity of large apartments and the perceived value of site-managed security and space. It is not a mass-market investment zone but a specialized market for buyers prioritizing unit size and managed community features over district-level affordability.

Property types · measured median ₺/m²

Housing, land, commercial and building — by type.

74.939

Konut

₺/m² · 198 listings · high confidence
30.000

Arsa

₺/m² · 25 listings · high confidence
Measured price · all property types · regional listing data

₺/m² by property type.

74.878

Daire

₺/m² · 189 listings
51.035

Dubleks

₺/m² · 6 listings

The median price of 74,939 TL/m² indicates a premium positioning relative to the Etimesgut district average (31,212 TL/m²). The sub-type spread reveals that standard apartments (74,878 TL/m²) command the highest value, while duplexes (51,035 TL/m²) trade at a substantial discount, suggesting that vertical density is priced higher than horizontal multi-level layouts in this specific inventory. The distribution ratio of 0.26 and the interquartile range (66,015–85,608 TL/m²) indicate moderate dispersion, where 'site' location adds a slight premium (+0% vs. general median) while 'view' attributes currently show a slight discount (-5%), implying that managed access is valued more consistently than scenic views in this inventory. The high asking prices contrast with a transaction volume of 1,143 units in 2025 (+8% trend), suggesting that while demand is growing, the high entry price may limit liquidity to cash-rich buyers or those with specific high-end requirements.

Housing for sale · listing data

₺/m² by property type and layout

Daire179 listings
1+110 listings
92.865₺/m²
2+118 listings
93.406₺/m²
3+128 listings
68.929₺/m²
4+1123 listings
75.000₺/m²

Bar: p25 — median — p75. Wide range within a type+layout = view/floor/aspect premium.

Premium · housing for sale · listing data

Price dispersion

66.01574.93985.608

Dispersion: Low · (p75−p25) / medyan = 0.26

Premium drivers · vs overall median

75.240

Site içinde

37 listings · +%0 vs median
71.300

Manzaralı

16 listings · −%5 vs median

How each feature shifts ₺/m² vs the overall median; from sea/view/pool and in-complex info in listing titles.

Neighbourhood building stock · listing data

Complexes, new-builds and mix in the area

%19

In a complex

37 / 198 listings
3

New / under construction

2 yeni · 1 proje
198

Housing listings for sale

kamuya açık ilan verisi — mahalle (satılık konut)
Layout mix
4+1125 listings · 75.000 ₺/m²
%67
3+128 listings · 68.929 ₺/m²
%15
2+118 listings · 93.406 ₺/m²
%10
1+111 listings · 93.750 ₺/m²
%6
5+14 listings · 39.636 ₺/m²
%2
Building age
0 (yeni/proje)2 listings
%100
Location · accessibility · UAVT + OSM + Nominatim

Surroundings & transit.

The neighbourhood’s profile is defined by large-scale residential blocks and site-managed communities, implying a lifestyle oriented towards privacy, security, and spacious living rather than urban walkability or commercial density. The prevalence of 'site' listings (19% of inventory) and the cadastral data showing a mix of high-rise concrete apartments and land parcels suggest a planned, somewhat isolated residential environment. The lack of detailed Points-of-Interest data in the packet prevents a full walkability assessment, but the architectural stock (14-18 story buildings) indicates a vertical, car-dependent or shuttle-dependent lifestyle typical of large suburban enclaves.

Cadastre · TKGM

Title & parcels.

26

Parcels

21

Blocks

32.816

Avg parcel m²

Land character

Developments · municipality / zoning

Recent developments.

Etimesgut Belediyesi E-İmarEtimesgut Belediyesi, Bağlıca Mahallesi dahil ilçenin imar durumu ve plan bilgilerine erişim sağlayan e-İmar sistemini yayınlamıştır.Etimesgut Belediyesi · 2024
Ankara Etimesgut'ta taşınmaz icradan satılıktırİlan.gov.tr üzerinden yayımlanan resmi ilanda, Bağlıca Mahallesi'ndeki taşınmazın 1/1000 ölçekli uygulama imar planı uyarınca konut alanı olduğu belirtilmiştir.İlan.gov.tr (Adalet Bakanlığı) · 2024
Etimesgut Bağlıca'ya modern spor kompleksi geliyorAnkara Büyükşehir Belediyesi, Bağlıca Mahallesi'ne kazandırdığı modern spor kompleksinin cephe ve çatı kaplama imalatlarını sürdürmekte olup projenin yüzde 65'i tamamlanmıştır.Ankara Büyükşehir Belediyesi · 2024
₺/m² series · Lure listing data
75.000

2026-08-17

74.939

2026-08-23

74.939

2026-08-30

Deed transactions · demand & liquidity · TKGM

Actual transaction demand

14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
1.143

Housing sales (yearly)

2025 · +%8 vs 5-yr avg
239

Land sales (yearly)

2025 · −%5 vs 5-yr avg
12.854

Total housing sales

Housing sales (yearly) · 2010–2025

Deed transactions = ACTUAL sales (TKGM), independent of listing ASKING prices — a demand/liquidity signal. Falling transactions = cooling demand, room to negotiate; high = liquid, in demand.

Investment outlook · observed trend

Investment assessment

This neighbourhood represents a niche investment profile focused on high-value, large-format assets rather than volume-driven rental yields. The dominance of 4+1 layouts (125 listings) and site-residences suggests a target demographic of established families or high-net-worth individuals seeking space and security. The wide price dispersion (p25–p75) offers upside potential for investors who can identify undervalued assets within the 'site' or 'apartment' categories, particularly those not benefiting from the 'view' premium. However, the high median price and the macroeconomic context of 42.03% mortgage rates create a barrier to entry, making this market primarily driven by cash transactions or specialized financing, which may slow turnover speed compared to mid-tier districts.

Not a hard forecast; inference from observed trend + macro context. Not investment advice.

Investment comparison · last 12 months · real data

If you'd bought this a year ago

Konut

Sample (anonymised) listing: 4+1 · 200 m² · current price 13.450.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~11.183.458 ₺ (regional property index).

starting capital
Gram altın16.242.638 ₺ +%45
Bu konut13.450.000 ₺ +%20
ABD doları13.100.686 ₺ +%17
Bitcoin9.288.848 ₺ −%17

Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Ankara)

Arsa

Sample (anonymised) listing: Arsa · 372 m² · current price 14.150.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~11.765.497 ₺ (regional property index).

starting capital
Gram altın17.087.980 ₺ +%45
Bu arsa14.150.000 ₺ +%20
ABD doları13.782.506 ₺ +%17
Bitcoin9.772.283 ₺ −%17

Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Ankara) — arsa için resmi endeks yok, bölge gayrimenkul göstergesi

Each row: what the same capital (the property's estimated price a year ago) would be worth today in that asset — all prices real; past returns don't guarantee the future. USD: TCMB; Altın: spot (PAXG, gram); BTC: CoinGecko

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Method & sources

This analysis relies on regional listing data (satılık), TKGM transaction records, cadastral (tapu) data, and macroeconomic indicators from TCMB. It does not include external field verification, zoning plan changes (KEOS) beyond what is stated, or real-time market sentiment shifts. Macro factors such as interest rates and inflation are included as context but are not predictive of future price movements.