1.002
Kalecik, Ankara
Momentum · yeterli veri yok
Kalecik, Ankara, is a district characterized by a land-heavy market where arsa (building plots) and arazi (agricultural land) dominate listings, with residential units being a minor segment. Price levels vary significantly by type, with residential properties commanding a median of 29,125 ₺/m², while land prices are substantially lower, reflecting the area's development stage.
Deprem bölgesi3 · PGA 0.25gil bazlı
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AI property valuation
AI estimate from parcel dossier + KEOS zoning + live ₺/m² + TKGM transactions + road cession; ₺/m² computed from real listings. Not an official appraisal or investment advice.
The location's thesis.
Kalecik is suitable for investors seeking long-term land appreciation or buyers requiring affordable residential space outside the dense urban core, rather than for short-term speculative trading. The dominance of land listings indicates a market in transition, where value is tied to future development potential rather than current rental yields. The scarcity of residential listings suggests that existing homes are held by owner-occupiers rather than investors, limiting the rental supply.
- High national mortgage interest rates (42.03%) constrain credit-driven demand, potentially slowing transaction velocity in the residential segment.
- The district is located in Seismic Hazard Zone 3 with a Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) of 0.25g, associated with the South Branch of the North Anatolian Fault; this necessitates rigorous structural assessment for any residential investment.
- Low inventory in the residential segment (13 listings) may limit exit options and reduce price transparency compared to larger markets.
Housing, land, commercial and building — by type.
1.002
Arsa
₺/m² · 57 listings · medium confidence256
Arazi
₺/m² · 39 listings · medium confidence29.125
Konut
₺/m² · 13 listings · medium confidence₺/m² by property type.
The market is distinctly split between land and built assets. Arsa (building plots) show a median price of 1,002 ₺/m² with a reasonable range of 316–1,588 ₺/m², indicating moderate dispersion and a median listing price of 1,280,000 ₺. Arazi (agricultural land) is priced lower at a median of 256 ₺/m² (range 114–380 ₺/m²), with a higher median listing price of 2,245,000 ₺, suggesting larger parcel sizes. Residential units, though scarce (13 listings), are priced at a median of 29,125 ₺/m² (range 24,777–32,250 ₺/m²), signaling a premium for existing infrastructure compared to raw land. The high national mortgage rate of 42.03% (TCMB) suggests that the residential segment is likely driven by cash buyers or those with existing capital, as credit costs are prohibitive.
Recent developments.
İMAR PLANLARI | T.C. Kalecik Belediyesi Resmi İnternet SitesiKalecik Belediyesi tarafından imar planları ve ilgili düzenlemeler resmi internet sitesi üzerinden vatandaşlarla paylaşılmaktadır.Kalecik Belediyesi · 2024-05-20
Ankara Büyükşehir Belediyesi | Askıİlgili imar planı değişiklikleri Ankara Büyükşehir Belediyesi nezdinde askı sürecine girmiş olup onay ve uygulama takvimleri belirlenmiştir.Ankara Büyükşehir Belediyesi · 2024-05-20
DUYURULAR | T.C. Kalecik Belediyesi Resmi İnternet SitesiKalecik Belediyesi, yerel seçimler ve belediye faaliyetlerine ilişkin güncel duyurularını resmi web sitesi üzerinden yayınlamaktadır.Kalecik Belediyesi · 2024-05-20
Kalecik Kaymakamlığı - Ankara Valiliği Kalecik Kaymakamlığı - DuyuruKalecik Kaymakamlığı, belediye ve diğer kurumlarla koordineli olarak resmi duyuruları ve idari işlemleri kamuoyuyla paylaşmaktadır.Kalecik Kaymakamlığı · 2024-05-20
Investment assessment
This neighbourhood offers a bifurcated investment profile: speculative land acquisition versus immediate residential utility. The wide price dispersion in arsa (316–1,588 ₺/m²) suggests that value creation depends heavily on specific plot attributes (zoning, access), offering upside for precise selection. In contrast, the residential segment is small and priced at a premium, implying lower liquidity but potentially higher stability for end-users. The high national interest rate environment currently favors cash transactions, making this market less sensitive to credit cycles but more dependent on local capital availability.
Not a hard forecast; inference from observed trend + macro context. Not investment advice.
Related Regions
This analysis relies on regional listing data (satılık), TCMB macro indicators, and provincial seismic hazard profiles. It does not include micro-level zoning details (KEOS), specific plot conditions, or broader economic forecasts such as inflation trends or currency fluctuations beyond the provided USD/TRY rate. Methodology is based on median prices from cleaned outlier data.