Ayvalı, Keçiören/Ankara
Ayvalı is a residential neighbourhood in the Keçiören district of Ankara characterized by a moderate price level. The neighbourhood features a mix of apartment-style housing with a median price of ₺27,777 per m² (regional listing data).
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AI estimate from parcel dossier + KEOS zoning + live ₺/m² + TKGM transactions + road cession; ₺/m² computed from real listings. Not an official appraisal or investment advice.
Rent ₺/mo
1 listingsThe location's thesis.
Ayvalı is a high-liquidity residential hub for small-to-medium sized households, evidenced by the dominance of 2+1 units (14 listings) and a growing trend in actual transaction volumes (TKGM).
- The area is located in a seismic hazard zone (Zone 3) with a peak ground acceleration (PGA) of 0.25g due to the South Branch of the North Anatolian Fault (Regional seismic data).
- High national mortgage interest rates (41.87%) may limit credit-based demand (TCMB).
₺/m² by property type.
The neighbourhood shows a clear distinction in pricing based on unit size: 2+1 apartments command a higher median of ₺29,115/m², while 3+1 units are priced lower at ₺23,891/m² (regional listing data). The price dispersion ratio of 0.32 indicates a relatively concentrated price range between the 25th and 75th percentiles (₺24,698–₺33,612). Notably, the Antares project maintains a median of ₺27,821/m², which is nearly aligned with the neighbourhood median, though it reaches a maximum of ₺46,032/m², representing a significant premium over the local average (regional listing data).
₺/m² by property type and layout
Bar: p25 — median — p75. Wide range within a type+layout = view/floor/aspect premium.
Price dispersion
Dispersion: Low · (p75−p25) / medyan = 0.32
How each feature shifts ₺/m² vs the overall median; from sea/view/pool and in-complex info in listing titles.
Branded projects and price premium
Neighbourhood median 27.777 ₺/m²; branded projects trade at a premium/discount vs the median.
Antares
4 listings · max 46.032 · +%0 vs medianComplexes, new-builds and mix in the area
Housing listings for sale
kamuya açık ilan verisi — mahalle (satılık konut)Surroundings & transit.
Official location · Kardeşler, Ayvalı Mahallesi, Keçiören, Ankara, İç Anadolu Bölgesi, 06010, Türkiye
Walkability
Public transit
Nearest market
Nearest pharmacy
Diğer
İbadethane (39), Shelter (33), Playground (16), Clothes (15)Günlük ihtiyaç
Süpermarket (68), Eczane (49), Market (10), PTT (7)Spor & rekreasyon
Park (88), Spor Sahası (18), Spor Merkezi (6), Spor Salonu (1)Yeme-içme
Restoran (21), Kafe (20), Fast Food (9), Fırın (9)Eğitim
Okul (19), Anaokulu (3), Üniversite (2)Ulaşım
Otopark (15), Taksi (5)The neighbourhood offers an exceptionally high level of accessibility, with a walkability score of 100 and a public transit score of 100 (UAVT, OSM). It is a highly service-dense area; within a 10-minute walking radius, residents have immediate access to pharmacies (48m), schools (142m), and supermarkets (414m) (UAVT, OSM). The high density of daily needs (145 points) and recreational spaces (114 points, including 88 parks) implies a lifestyle suited for families and urban dwellers who rely on pedestrian access to essential services.
Title & parcels.
Parcels
Blocks
Avg parcel m²
Land character
- Arsa · 10 (%26)
- Kargir Apartman · 8 (%21)
- 5 Katlı Betonarme Apartman Ve Arsası · 4 (%10)
- 6 Katlı Betonarme Apartman Ve Arsası · 3 (%8)
- Betonarme Apartman · 2 (%5)
- Kargir Apartman · 2 (%5)
- Beton Apartman · 1 (%3)
- Kargir Apartman · 1 (%3)
Recent developments.
Actual transaction demand
Housing sales (yearly)
2025 · +%8 vs 5-yr avgLand sales (yearly)
2025 · −%29 vs 5-yr avgTotal housing sales
Housing sales (yearly) · 2010–2025Deed transactions = ACTUAL sales (TKGM), independent of listing ASKING prices — a demand/liquidity signal. Falling transactions = cooling demand, room to negotiate; high = liquid, in demand.
Investment assessment
Investment potential is supported by a rising liquidity trend, with residential sales in 2025 reaching 668 units, an 8% increase compared to the 5-year average of 620 (TKGM). The land registry data shows a developed urban character, with 26% of parcels classified as 'Arsa' (land) and the remainder consisting of various apartment-type structures (TKGM). Given the high walkability and transit scores, the area is positioned for users seeking established urban amenities, though high national mortgage interest rates (41.87%) suggest the market is currently driven by cash buyers (TCMB).
Not a hard forecast; inference from observed trend + macro context. Not investment advice.
If you'd bought this a year ago
Sample (anonymised) listing: 3+1 · 120 m² · current price 2.950.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~2.442.136 ₺ (regional property index).
Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Ankara)
Each row: what the same capital (the property's estimated price a year ago) would be worth today in that asset — all prices real; past returns don't guarantee the future. USD: TCMB; Altın: spot (PAXG, gram); BTC: CoinGecko
Related Regions
This analysis is based on regional listing data, TKGM land registry records, OSM/UAVT location data, and TCMB macro indicators. It does not account for future zoning changes, specific building inspections, or broader macroeconomic shifts not included in the provided data packet.