24.783
Bağlarbaşı, Keçiören/Ankara
Momentum +0
Bağlarbaşı is a residential neighbourhood in Keçiören, Ankara, characterized by a median property price of ₺24,783/m² (regional listing data). The neighbourhood's pricing sits slightly below the Keçiören district median of ₺25,728/m² (regional listing data).
Talep eğilimi%−45 yıl ort.Son yıl tapu satışı453 adet2025Veri güveniyüksek25 ilanDeprem bölgesi3 · PGA 0.25gil bazlı
25.000
Land · ₺/m²
1 listings · for sale2.765.000
Median price ₺
for saleThe location's thesis.
Bağlarbaşı serves as a residential hub for families, evidenced by the dominance of 3+1 apartment types and an established urban land registry (TKGM).
- The area is located in a seismic hazard zone (Level 3) with a peak ground acceleration (PGA) of 0.25g due to the South Branch of the North Anatolian Fault (regional seismic data).
- High national mortgage interest rates (41.87%) may limit credit-based purchasing power, shifting the market toward cash buyers (TCMB).
Housing, land, commercial and building — by type.
24.783
Konut
₺/m² · 25 listings · high confidence25.000
Arsa
₺/m² · 1 listings · low confidence₺/m² by property type.
24.783
Daire
₺/m² · 25 listingsThe neighbourhood is dominated by apartment-style housing, with a median price of ₺24,783/m² for residential units (regional listing data). There is a notable price variance based on unit size: 2+1 apartments are priced higher at ₺28,661/m² compared to 3+1 units at ₺24,522/m² (regional listing data). The land registry (TKGM) data shows a diverse land character, with 27 parcels identified as 'Arsa' (23%) and various apartment-related designations (Kargir Apartman, Apartman-Beton, etc.), indicating an established urban fabric rather than agricultural land. While listing prices are available, actual transaction volumes (TKGM) show 453 residential sales in 2025, representing a 4% decrease from the 5-year average, suggesting a cooling in real demand despite asking prices.
₺/m² by property type and layout
Daire24 listings
2+18 listings
28.661₺/m²
3+116 listings
24.522₺/m²
Bar: p25 — median — p75. Wide range within a type+layout = view/floor/aspect premium.
Price dispersion
23.03125.48728.658
Dispersion: Low · (p75−p25) / medyan = 0.22
How each feature shifts ₺/m² vs the overall median; from sea/view/pool and in-complex info in listing titles.
Complexes, new-builds and mix in the area
28
Housing listings for sale
kamuya açık ilan verisi — mahalle (satılık konut)Layout mix
3+116 listings · 24.522 ₺/m²
%67
2+18 listings · 28.661 ₺/m²
%33
Surroundings & transit.
The neighbourhood's structure, composed of 115 parcels with an average size of 1,272 m² (TKGM), and its land registry composition suggest a settled residential environment. The prevalence of apartment-type land designations indicates a high-density living profile.
Title & parcels.
115
Parcels
52
Blocks
1.272
Avg parcel m²
Land character
- Arsa · 27 (%23)
- Kargir Apartman · 24 (%21)
- Apartman - Kargir · 11 (%10)
- Bağ · 9 (%8)
- Müfrez Bağ · 7 (%6)
- Apartman - Beton · 5 (%4)
- Betonarme Apartman Ve Arsası · 3 (%3)
- 5 Katlı Betonarme Apartman Ve Arsası · 3 (%3)
Recent developments.
Bağlarbaşı Mahallesi 30400 Ada 20 Parsele Ait 1/1000 Ölçekli Uygulama İmar Planı DeğişikliğiBağlarbaşı Mahallesi 30400 ada 20 parselde uygulanan 1/1000 ölçekli uygulama imar planı değişikliği onama işlemleri tamamlanarak askıya çıkarılmıştır.Keçiören Belediyesi · 2023-10-31
Adnan Menderes ve Bağlarbaşı Mahalleleri Rezerv Yapı Alanı İmar Planı OnayıAnkara ili Keçiören ilçesi Adnan Menderes ve Bağlarbaşı mahalleleri sınırları içindeki rezerv yapı alanına ilişkin hazırlanan imar planı Keçiören Belediye Başkanlığı tarafından onaylanarak kesinleşmiştir.Ankara Valiliği (ÇŞİB) · 2024-06-24
Keçiören Belediyesi İmar Planı Tadilatı Askı İlanıKeçiören Belediyesi tarafından ilan edilen imar planı tadilatı onama işlemleri tamamlanarak, belirtilen tarihlerden itibaren 1 ay süreyle askıya çıkarılmıştır.Keçiören Belediyesi · 2026-05-08
24.783
2026-08-18
24.783
2026-08-25
24.783
2026-09-09
24.783
2026-09-16
24.783
2026-10-06
24.783
2026-10-12
Actual transaction demand
453
Housing sales (yearly)
2025 · −%4 vs 5-yr avg1
Land sales (yearly)
2025 · −%67 vs 5-yr avg7.049
Total housing sales
Housing sales (yearly) · 2010–2025Deed transactions = ACTUAL sales (TKGM), independent of listing ASKING prices — a demand/liquidity signal. Falling transactions = cooling demand, room to negotiate; high = liquid, in demand.
Investment assessment
The investment profile is defined by a high concentration of 3+1 units (16 listings) and 2+1 units (8 listings), catering primarily to family-oriented demographics (regional listing data). With a price dispersion ratio of 0.22 (p25–p75: ₺23,031–₺28,658), there is a moderate range for selection within the apartment segment (regional listing data). Given that transaction volumes are currently trending below the 5-year average (TKGM), liquidity may be lower than historical norms, requiring careful negotiation between asking prices and real market value.
Not a hard forecast; inference from observed trend + macro context. Not investment advice.
If you'd bought this a year ago
Konut
Sample (anonymised) listing: 3+1 · 125 m² · current price 2.775.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~2.297.263 ₺ (regional property index).
starting capital
Bu konut2.775.000 ₺ +%21
ABD doları2.701.672 ₺ +%18
Gram altın2.543.001 ₺ +%11
Bitcoin2.047.180 ₺ −%11
Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Ankara)
Each row: what the same capital (the property's estimated price a year ago) would be worth today in that asset — all prices real; past returns don't guarantee the future. USD: TCMB; Altın: spot (PAXG, gram); BTC: CoinGecko
Related Regions
This analysis relies on regional listing data, TKGM land registry records, and TCMB macro data. It does not account for future changes in zoning, interest rates, or broader economic shifts.