Karakaya, Keçiören/Ankara
Karakaya is a residential neighbourhood in Keçiören, Ankara, characterized by a median listing price of 24,864 TL/m² for apartments, which is slightly below the district median of 25,619 TL/m². The market is dominated by apartment listings, with a stable price level observed over the recent reporting period.
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AI estimate from parcel dossier + KEOS zoning + live ₺/m² + TKGM transactions + road cession; ₺/m² computed from real listings. Not an official appraisal or investment advice.
Land · ₺/m²
4 listings · for saleMedian price ₺
for saleWalkability
43 points of interest · OSMThe location's thesis.
Karakaya is suitable for budget-conscious buyers or investors seeking exposure to the Keçiören district at a slight discount to the median, particularly those prioritizing apartment living over detached housing. The neighbourhood appeals to residents who are car-dependent but value proximity to essential services like schools and pharmacies, rather than those seeking high walkability or public transit connectivity.
- Low walkability and zero public transit scores may limit the tenant pool to car-owning households, potentially affecting rental liquidity.
- The neighbourhood is located in Seismic Risk Zone 3 with a PGA of 0.25g, indicating moderate earthquake hazard at the provincial level, which may influence insurance costs or buyer perception.
- High mortgage interest rates (42.04%) at the national level constrain credit-driven demand, likely favoring cash buyers and slowing transaction velocity.
Housing, land, commercial and building — by type.
Konut
₺/m² · 22 listings · high confidenceArsa
₺/m² · 4 listings · low confidenceArsa
₺/m² · 3 listings · low confidenceBina
₺/m² · 1 listings · low confidence₺/m² by property type.
Daire
₺/m² · 22 listingsThe median price of 24,864 TL/m² for apartments (n=22) sits 3% below the Keçiören district median of 25,619 TL/m², suggesting the neighbourhood is priced competitively relative to the wider district. The market is heavily skewed toward apartments (2+1 and 3+1 units), with no villa listings reported in the primary dataset, making direct villa-to-apartment comparisons unavailable for this specific sample. Other property types, such as land (arsa) at 8,697 TL/m² and buildings (bina) at 45,448 TL/m², represent a small fraction of the data (n=4 and n=1 respectively) and do not define the primary residential price signal. The narrow price dispersion (p25–p75: 22,521–25,975 TL/m²) and a distribution ratio of 0.14 indicate a relatively consistent pricing environment for apartments.
₺/m² by property type and layout
Bar: p25 — median — p75. Wide range within a type+layout = view/floor/aspect premium.
Price dispersion
Dispersion: Low · (p75−p25) / medyan = 0.14
How each feature shifts ₺/m² vs the overall median; from sea/view/pool and in-complex info in listing titles.
Complexes, new-builds and mix in the area
Housing listings for sale
kamuya açık ilan verisi — mahalle (satılık konut)Surroundings & transit.
Official location · Karakaya Mahallesi, Keçiören, Ankara, İç Anadolu Bölgesi, Türkiye
Walkability
Public transit
Nearest pharmacy
Diğer
İbadethane (6), Shelter (6), Bus Station (1)Günlük ihtiyaç
Eczane (9), ATM (1), Akaryakıt (1)Spor & rekreasyon
Park (8), Spor Sahası (1)Eğitim
Okul (7)Ulaşım
Taksi (1)Sağlık
Klinik (1)The neighbourhood exhibits low walkability (score 29) and zero public transit accessibility (score 0), indicating a lifestyle heavily reliant on private vehicle ownership. However, daily necessities are accessible within a 1.5 km radius, with 9 pharmacies, 7 schools, and 8 parks nearby, supporting basic residential convenience. The presence of 6 religious sites and 6 shelters suggests a community-oriented environment, while the lack of bus stops implies limited integration with Ankara’s broader public transport network.
Recent developments.
2026-08-18
2026-08-25
Investment assessment
This neighbourhood offers a value-oriented entry point for investors, as prices are slightly below the district average, potentially providing a margin of safety or upside if the area aligns with broader district trends. The dominance of 2+1 units (n=14) suggests a layout efficient for smaller households or rental yield strategies targeting young professionals or small families. While the absence of villa data limits diversification analysis within the residential segment, the consistent pricing and below-median valuation present a static opportunity for capital preservation or steady rental income, contingent on the broader macroeconomic environment.
Not a hard forecast; inference from observed trend + macro context. Not investment advice.
If you'd bought this a year ago
Sample (anonymised) listing: 2+1 · 90 m² · current price 2.690.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~2.236.692 ₺ (regional property index).
Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Ankara)
Sample (anonymised) listing: Arsa · 772 m² · current price 2.780.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~2.311.525 ₺ (regional property index).
Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Ankara) — arsa için resmi endeks yok, bölge gayrimenkul göstergesi
Each row: what the same capital (the property's estimated price a year ago) would be worth today in that asset — all prices real; past returns don't guarantee the future. USD: TCMB; Altın: spot (PAXG, gram); BTC: CoinGecko
Related Regions
This analysis relies on regional listing data (satılık), OpenStreetMap (OSM) for points of interest, and national macroeconomic indicators from TCMB. It does not include internal field names or proprietary methodology details. Macro factors such as interest rates and zoning are noted for context but are not integrated into predictive models. Seismic data is province-level and not parcel-specific.