REEN · Location Intelligence · Measured data

Tepebaşı, Keçiören/Ankara

Momentum · yeterli veri yok

Tepebaşı in Keçiören, Ankara, is a residential neighbourhood where the median listing price for apartments stands at 28,103 TL/m², positioning it approximately 10% above the district-wide median of 25,619 TL/m². The market is characterized by a high concentration of 3+1 units, reflecting a family-oriented housing stock with strong transactional liquidity.

Talep eğilimi%+35 yıl ort.Son yıl tapu satışı318 adet2025Veri güveniyüksek22 ilanDeprem bölgesi3 · PGA 0.25gil bazlı
Snapshot · measured
28.103

Housing · ₺/m²

22 listings · confidence yuksek
2.840.000

Median price ₺

for sale
01 · Area thesis

The location's thesis.

Tepebaşı is a family-centric, high-liquidity sub-market within Keçiören, ideal for end-users seeking 3+1 apartments in a district with above-average pricing and strong transactional activity. The neighbourhood is defined by its mix of established masonry and concrete apartment blocks, with a cadastral profile that includes significant vacant land (arsa) and residential buildings, suggesting a stable but evolving urban fabric. It is best suited for buyers who prioritize transactional ease and family-sized layouts over speculative land development.

Property types · measured median ₺/m²

Housing, land, commercial and building — by type.

28.103

Konut

₺/m² · 22 listings · high confidence
Measured price · all property types · regional listing data

₺/m² by property type.

28.103

Daire

₺/m² · 22 listings

The median price of 28,103 TL/m² indicates a premium over the Keçiören district average (25,619 TL/m²), suggesting that Tepebaşı is perceived as a higher-value sub-market within the district. The inventory is almost exclusively composed of apartments (n=22), with no villa listings reported in the median data, meaning the 'villa vs. apartment' spread is not applicable here. The narrow price dispersion (interquartile range 27,431–29,911 TL/m²) signals a standardized, mature market with consistent pricing. While asking prices are elevated, real transaction data shows a 3% year-over-year increase in sales volume (318 units in 2025 vs. 5-year average of 309), indicating that the higher asking prices are supported by actual buyer demand rather than being speculative.

Housing for sale · listing data

₺/m² by property type and layout

Daire24 listings
2+111 listings
29.944₺/m²
3+113 listings
27.900₺/m²

Bar: p25 — median — p75. Wide range within a type+layout = view/floor/aspect premium.

Premium · housing for sale · listing data

Price dispersion

27.43128.30429.911

Dispersion: Low · (p75−p25) / medyan = 0.09

How each feature shifts ₺/m² vs the overall median; from sea/view/pool and in-complex info in listing titles.

Neighbourhood building stock · listing data

Complexes, new-builds and mix in the area

24

Housing listings for sale

kamuya açık ilan verisi — mahalle (satılık konut)
Layout mix
3+113 listings · 27.900 ₺/m²
%54
2+111 listings · 29.944 ₺/m²
%46
Location · accessibility · UAVT + OSM + Nominatim

Surroundings & transit.

The neighbourhood’s housing stock is dominated by 3+1 apartments (13 units) and 2+1 units (11 units), indicating a layout designed for families rather than single investors or students. The presence of a vocational high school and social services academy within the cadastral data suggests a community-focused environment with established public infrastructure. The mix of masonry and concrete apartment buildings points to a mature, built-up area rather than a new development zone, implying limited immediate supply shock but steady long-term demand for family housing.

Cadastre · TKGM

Title & parcels.

30

Parcels

10

Blocks

1.701

Avg parcel m²

Land character

Developments · municipality / zoning

Recent developments.

İmar Plan Değişikliği (Şenlik, Yakacık, Güçlükaya ve Tepebaşı)Tepebaşı Mahallesi dahilinde yer alan parsellere ait imar planı tadilatına ait onama işlemleri tamamlanarak ilan panosunda 1 ay süreyle asılmıştır.Keçiören Belediyesi · 2020-10-15
Duyurular | Keçiören Belediyesiİlgili imar planı tadilatına ait onama işlemlerinin tamamlandığına ve ilan panosunda belirlenen süre boyunca asılacağına dair resmi duyuru yapılmıştır.Keçiören Belediyesi · 2026-04-14
₺/m² series · Lure listing data
28.103

2026-08-18

28.103

2026-08-25

Deed transactions · demand & liquidity · TKGM

Actual transaction demand

14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
318

Housing sales (yearly)

2025 · +%3 vs 5-yr avg
5

Land sales (yearly)

2025 · +%67 vs 5-yr avg
4.783

Total housing sales

Housing sales (yearly) · 2010–2025

Deed transactions = ACTUAL sales (TKGM), independent of listing ASKING prices — a demand/liquidity signal. Falling transactions = cooling demand, room to negotiate; high = liquid, in demand.

Investment outlook · observed trend

Investment assessment

This neighbourhood offers a stable, liquidity-driven investment profile suitable for buyers seeking family-sized units (3+1) in a high-demand district. The premium over the district median suggests resilience, but the high national mortgage interest rate (42.04%) implies that future demand will likely remain cash-heavy or sensitive to rate fluctuations. The wide variety of land types (from apartments to vacant lots) suggests potential for redevelopment, but the current market is dominated by existing apartment stock. Investors should focus on the efficiency of 3+1 layouts, which constitute the majority of the stock, while noting that the high financing costs currently limit leveraged entry.

Not a hard forecast; inference from observed trend + macro context. Not investment advice.

Investment comparison · last 12 months · real data

If you'd bought this a year ago

Konut

Sample (anonymised) listing: 3+1 · 100 m² · current price 2.890.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~2.402.988 ₺ (regional property index).

starting capital
Gram altın3.490.054 ₺ +%45
Bu konut2.890.000 ₺ +%20
ABD doları2.814.943 ₺ +%17
Bitcoin1.995.894 ₺ −%17

Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Ankara)

Each row: what the same capital (the property's estimated price a year ago) would be worth today in that asset — all prices real; past returns don't guarantee the future. USD: TCMB; Altın: spot (PAXG, gram); BTC: CoinGecko

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Method & sources

This analysis relies on regional listing data (satılık konut), TKGM real transaction records, cadastral land-use distribution, and macroeconomic indicators from TCMB. It does not include external zoning changes, interest rate forecasts, or micro-level site inspections. The seismic data is province-level context and not specific to individual parcels.