İlkbahar, Güney/Denizli
İlkbahar is a high-value neighbourhood located in the Güney/Denizli district, characterized by property prices that sit significantly above the district average. The area is primarily defined by apartment-style housing with a median price of 73,939 ₺/m² (regional listing data).
Median price ₺
for saleThe location's thesis.
İlkbahar is a family-oriented residential area where value is driven by complex-based living (site içi) and 3+1 configurations, positioned as a premium sub-market within the Denizli district (regional listing data).
- The region is located in earthquake hazard zone 2, with a peak ground acceleration (PGA) of 0.35g associated with the Büyük Menderes graben (regional data).
- High national mortgage interest rates at 41.87% may impact liquidity and demand (macro data).
Housing, land, commercial and building — by type.
Konut
₺/m² · 26 listings · high confidence₺/m² by property type.
Daire
₺/m² · 26 listingsThe neighbourhood's median price of 73,939 ₺/m² is substantially higher than the district median of 54,935 ₺/m² (regional listing data). Within the apartment segment, there is a notable price variance based on layout: 3+1 units command a premium at 81,083 ₺/m², whereas 4+1 units are priced lower at 50,660 ₺/m² (regional listing data). Regarding value drivers, being located within a residential complex (site içi) provides a 6% premium over the median, while view-based pricing (manzaralı) shows a -1% variance relative to the median (regional listing data). Interestingly, branded projects like Güneypark 2 and Sinpaş Güneypark 1 currently trade at a discount of -15% and -25% respectively compared to the neighbourhood median (regional listing data).
₺/m² by property type and layout
Bar: p25 — median — p75. Wide range within a type+layout = view/floor/aspect premium.
Price dispersion
Dispersion: Low · (p75−p25) / medyan = 0.35
Premium drivers · vs overall median
Site içinde
11 listings · +%6 vs medianManzaralı
12 listings · −%1 vs medianHow each feature shifts ₺/m² vs the overall median; from sea/view/pool and in-complex info in listing titles.
Branded projects and price premium
Neighbourhood median 72.970 ₺/m²; branded projects trade at a premium/discount vs the median.
Güneypark 2
3 listings · max 63.333 · −%15 vs medianSinpaş Güneypark 1
5 listings · max 76.552 · −%25 vs medianComplexes, new-builds and mix in the area
In a complex
11 / 26 listingsHousing listings for sale
kamuya açık ilan verisi — mahalle (satılık konut)Surroundings & transit.
The neighbourhood's housing stock is characterized by a significant presence of residential complexes, with 42% of listings located within a 'site' (regional listing data). The dominant unit types are 3+1 and 4+1 apartments, suggesting a residential profile geared towards families (regional listing data).
2026-08-17
2026-08-24
2026-09-08
2026-09-15
2026-10-05
2026-10-12
Investment assessment
The investment profile is shaped by a high price-per-square-meter relative to the district, with a concentration in 3+1 apartment layouts which represent the dominant stock (regional listing data). The presence of branded projects trading below the neighbourhood median suggests potential price dispersion depending on the specific project's positioning. Given the current national housing loan interest rate of 41.87%, market activity is likely driven by cash buyers (macro data).
Not a hard forecast; inference from observed trend + macro context. Not investment advice.
If you'd bought this a year ago
Sample (anonymised) listing: 3+1 · 150 m² · current price 12.200.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~10.204.691 ₺ (regional property index).
Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Aydın/Denizli/Muğla)
Each row: what the same capital (the property's estimated price a year ago) would be worth today in that asset — all prices real; past returns don't guarantee the future. USD: TCMB; Altın: spot (PAXG, gram); BTC: CoinGecko
Related Regions
This analysis relies on regional listing data, macro-economic indicators (TCMB), and seismic hazard data. It does not account for future changes in interest rates, zoning regulations, or broader economic shifts.