Dereköy, Bodrum/Muğla
Dereköy is a rural-residential neighbourhood in Bodrum, Muğla, characterized by a high median price of 101,897 TL/m² for residential properties, which is significantly above the district median of 60,000 TL/m². The area is defined by large agricultural parcels and low-density development, with a recent price momentum of -7.5% indicating a cooling market.
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AI estimate from parcel dossier + KEOS zoning + live ₺/m² + TKGM transactions + road cession; ₺/m² computed from real listings. Not an official appraisal or investment advice.
Land · ₺/m²
13 listings · for saleMedian price ₺
for saleWalkability
4 points of interest · OSMRent ₺/mo
5 listingsThe location's thesis.
Dereköy is a high-cost, low-density agricultural-residential zone in Bodrum, primarily suited for investors with high capital seeking land banking or long-term development opportunities rather than immediate rental income. The neighbourhood’s character is defined by its vast average parcel size (12,727 m²) and dominance of agricultural land (Tarla 21%, Narenciye Bahçesi 13%, Zeytinli Tarla 3%), which contrasts with the high residential asking prices, creating a disconnect between land use and current valuation. The low transaction volume (12 sales in 2025) and recent price decline (-7.5%) suggest that the market is currently buyer-favorable for those willing to navigate the illiquidity, while the limited zoning (only 10 parcels with application plans) restricts near-term development upside.
- Low liquidity: Only 12 residential sales in 2025, with a 5-year average of 9, indicating a thin market where exiting investments may take considerable time.
- High financing costs: National mortgage interest rates at 42.04% (TCMB) severely limit the pool of credit-dependent buyers, likely restricting demand to cash purchasers.
- Zoning constraints: Only 10 parcels have application zoning (KEOS) with a low plot ratio (0.20), limiting immediate development potential and increasing reliance on future regulatory changes.
- Price volatility: Recent negative momentum (-7.5%) suggests ongoing price correction, which could impact short-term equity for leveraged buyers.
- Seismic risk: Located in a region with high seismic hazard (Zone 2, PGA 0.33g), which may affect insurance costs and long-term structural requirements.
Housing, land, commercial and building — by type.
Arazi
₺/m² · 18 listings · medium confidenceKonut
₺/m² · 14 listings · medium confidenceKonut
₺/m² · 14 listings · medium confidenceArsa
₺/m² · 13 listings · medium confidenceArsa
₺/m² · 1 listings · low confidenceBina
₺/m² · 1 listings · low confidence₺/m² by property type.
Daire
₺/m² · 10 listingsDaire
₺/m² · 9 listingsMüstakil Ev
₺/m² · 4 listingsThe residential median of 101,897 TL/m² (range 85,650–114,659 TL/m²) commands a substantial premium over the Bodrum district median of 60,000 TL/m², suggesting a niche, high-value segment (regional listing data). The sub-type spread shows apartments (daire) trading at ~93,953 TL/m² and detached houses (mustakil_ev) at ~79,833 TL/m², indicating that while apartments are priced higher, detached homes offer a lower entry point per square meter. The rental median of 47,500 TL/month (n=5) against a sales median of 9,000,000 TL implies a gross yield calculation that must be treated with caution due to the small sample size and potential mismatch in property types between rental and sales listings. The recent price drop of 7.5% (from 103,333 to 95,556 TL/m²) signals active price correction or reduced asking prices in response to market conditions.
₺/m² by property type and layout
Bar: p25 — median — p75. Wide range within a type+layout = view/floor/aspect premium.
Price dispersion
Dispersion: Low · (p75−p25) / medyan = 0.38
How each feature shifts ₺/m² vs the overall median; from sea/view/pool and in-complex info in listing titles.
Complexes, new-builds and mix in the area
In a complex
1 / 28 listingsNew / under construction
1 yeni · 2 projeHousing listings for sale
kamuya açık ilan verisi — mahalle (satılık konut)Surroundings & transit.
Official location · Dereköy, Bodrum, Muğla, Ege Bölgesi, 48960, Türkiye
Walkability
Public transit
Nearest pharmacy
Diğer
Motorcycle Parking (1), İbadethane (1)Günlük ihtiyaç
Eczane (1)Yeme-içme
Restoran (1)Dereköy offers a low-walkability environment (score 25) with minimal public transit access (score 0), implying a car-dependent lifestyle typical of rural or semi-rural Bodrum areas. The limited points of interest within 1.5 km (mostly agricultural or basic services like one pharmacy and one restaurant) suggest it is not a hub for daily urban convenience but rather a destination for those seeking space and privacy. The presence of motorcycle parking and a place of worship indicates a small, localized community infrastructure. This profile suits investors targeting the vacation home or second-home market rather than the primary rental market for young professionals or students.
Title & parcels.
Parcels
Blocks
Avg parcel m²
Land character
- Tarla · 162 (%21)
- Narenciye Bahçesi · 97 (%13)
- Otlakiye · 66 (%9)
- Arsa · 60 (%8)
- Kargir Ev Ve Narenciye Bahçesi · 34 (%4)
- Avlulu Kargir Ev · 25 (%3)
- Zeytinli Tarla · 23 (%3)
- Mera · 17 (%2)
Development rights.
Planned parcels
Recent developments.
2026-07-23
2026-07-26
2026-07-29
2026-08-01
2026-08-04
2026-08-09
2026-08-13
2026-08-18
Actual transaction demand
Housing sales (yearly)
2025 · +%33 vs 5-yr avgLand sales (yearly)
2025 · +%6 vs 5-yr avgTotal housing sales
Housing sales (yearly) · 2010–2025Deed transactions = ACTUAL sales (TKGM), independent of listing ASKING prices — a demand/liquidity signal. Falling transactions = cooling demand, room to negotiate; high = liquid, in demand.
Investment assessment
This neighbourhood presents a high-barrier entry profile due to prices nearly double the district median, making it suitable for investors with significant capital seeking land or large-scale development rather than standard apartment flipping. The wide price dispersion (p25–p75: 81,018–119,167 TL/m²) and the dominance of agricultural land (Tarla 21%, Narenciye Bahçesi 13%) suggest that value creation lies in zoning changes or land assembly rather than immediate residential rental yields. With only 10 parcels having application zoning (KEOS) and a low average plot ratio (0.20), development potential is constrained, meaning investment returns depend heavily on long-term zoning evolution and macroeconomic shifts in credit availability (currently high at 42.04% interest). The recent negative price momentum (-7.5%) and low transaction volume (12 sales in 2025 vs 5-year avg 9) indicate a slow-moving market where liquidity is limited, requiring a long-term hold strategy.
Not a hard forecast; inference from observed trend + macro context. Not investment advice.
If you'd bought this a year ago
Sample (anonymised) listing: 2+1 · 90 m² · current price 9.000.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~7.597.638 ₺ (regional property index).
Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Aydın/Denizli/Muğla)
Sample (anonymised) listing: Arazi / tarla · 4.993 m² · current price 19.500.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~16.461.549 ₺ (regional property index).
Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Aydın/Denizli/Muğla) — arazi / tarla için resmi endeks yok, bölge gayrimenkul göstergesi
Sample (anonymised) listing: Arsa · 448 m² · current price 12.500.000 ₺. Estimated price a year ago ~10.552.275 ₺ (regional property index).
Taşınmaz: TCMB konut endeksi (Aydın/Denizli/Muğla) — arsa için resmi endeks yok, bölge gayrimenkul göstergesi
Each row: what the same capital (the property's estimated price a year ago) would be worth today in that asset — all prices real; past returns don't guarantee the future. USD: TCMB; Altın: spot (PAXG, gram); BTC: CoinGecko
Related Regions
This analysis relies on regional listing data (satılık/kiralık ilanlar), TKGM transaction records, OSM/Nominatim location data, KEOS zoning information, and TCMB macroeconomic indicators. It does not include real-time field verification, specific building inspections, or external news. Macro factors such as interest rates and zoning laws are included as contextual drivers, but specific property-level risks (e.g., structural integrity, exact title deed status) are not assessed. The methodology is observational and based on available data as of the packet date.